Malaysian palm oil exports to India have slowed sharply since Delhi took a hardline stance in September over Mahathir's Kashmir remarks. February exports to India fell 91% year on year to 29,269 tonnes.
Traders say palm remains too expensive relative to rival oils for a sharp rise in Indian demand, even as a new Malaysian government seeks to restore ties.
Weak Indian import demand for palm, with the soy-palm spread narrow, limits palm's price support and keeps competition from soyoil intense.
After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.