
Palm oil has moved to a rare premium over soft oils in India, reportedly more than $30 a tonne, because Indonesian import and export restrictions have constrained supply. Dealers say this is making sunflower oil and soyoil more attractive to Indian buyers.
A palm premium to soft oils shifts Indian demand toward soyoil and sunflower oil, supporting those prices while palm loses competitiveness. Continued Indonesian restrictions keep palm tight relative to substitutes.
After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.