India cut its import duty on crude palm oil from 35.75% to 30.25% for June 30 to September 30, 2021. Malaysia's palm oil board said Malaysian palm oil exports to India rose more than eightfold to 1.29 million tonnes in January to May 2021.
Lower Indian import duties should boost demand for Malaysian and Indonesian palm oil during the third quarter, supporting palm prices. Stronger Indian buying also tightens palm supply available to other vegetable oil markets.
After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 81 past neutral trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.