
CBOT July soybeans rose to their highest since February 27 on technical buying and hopes for US export demand. Soyoil gained while soymeal fell, and reports suggested US-China trade talks may de-escalate and Japan may increase US soybean imports.
Prospects of trade de-escalation and additional Japanese purchases support US soybean export demand and prices, while soymeal weakness reflects softer meal demand.
After 696 past bullish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, SBO moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, SBM moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.