
CBOT soybeans closed higher on December 10 after USDA confirmed private sales of 136,000 tonnes to China and 331,000 tonnes to unknown buyers, plus 120,000 tonnes of soymeal to Poland. January soymeal fell 10 cents to $301.20 per short ton while soyoil rose.
Confirmed Chinese purchases support soybean prices, while expectations of large South American harvests cap gains. Soymeal stayed soft despite the Poland sale.
After 696 past bullish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, SBM moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 81 past neutral trade events, SBO moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.