China agreed to purchase 5 million tons of US soybeans, announced in Washington, nearly doubling the average monthly quantity Chinese importers bought in 2016 and 2017. Officials were skeptical the purchase would substantially reduce a projected record US soybean stockpile.
A large Chinese buy supports US soybean export demand and prices, though the size of the record stock overhang limits the upside.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.