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President-elect Trump's planned 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports and an additional 10% on Chinese goods could raise US farm input costs and provoke trade retaliation. Analysts note that negotiations could prevent some tariffs from taking effect.
Higher tariffs on fertilizer imports from Canada, a major supplier to the US, would raise nutrient costs and could reduce US planting margins. Retaliation risk also threatens US agricultural export demand.
agri-pulse.comOliver WardNov 27, 2024After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
