
New country-specific U.S. reciprocal tariffs on about 60 trading partners took effect on April 9, layered on a 10% across-the-board tariff that started the previous Saturday. Analysts say the duties will raise consumer prices, including for farm inputs, and shrink key export markets.
Effects will vary by product, with raw agricultural goods facing sharp price increases.
Retaliation and lost export access reduce demand for U.S. soybeans and other farm exports, pressuring domestic feed grain and oilseed prices. Higher input costs also squeeze farm margins.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.