Trump-Vance ticket confirms populist, protectionist tilt of GOP

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Jul 1, 2020Cheers for USMCA, but ag concerns persist | 2020-06-30 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+1.2%
• Dec 9, 2024Tariffs, competition cloud future of China ag exports | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0.6%
• Dec 13, 2023House panel calls for targeting China with tariffs, protecting ag from retaliation | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0.8%
• Nov 24, 2021Legislators call for Biden to act on Mexico's noncompliance with biotech provisions | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-3.5%
• May 30, 2024Daybreak: Trade deficit grows as China sales weaken | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-3.0%

After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Nov 27, 2024Trump's threatened tariffs could raise farmer costs | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0.1%
• Jul 1, 2020Cheers for USMCA, but ag concerns persist | 2020-06-30 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+1.9%
• Apr 5, 2023Mexico makes its case against GM white corn | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0.1%
• Nov 24, 2021Legislators call for Biden to act on Mexico's noncompliance with biotech provisions | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-3.8%
• May 30, 2024Daybreak: Trade deficit grows as China sales weaken | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-4.0%

After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jan 3, 2018Ag groups see trade, farm bill among top challenges in 2018 | 2018-01-02 | Agri-Pulse | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.3%
• Aug 6, 2019China revokes tariff exemption on soybeans | 2019-08-06 | Agri-Pulse | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-1.0%
• Feb 8, 2024USDA raises corn, soybean ending stocks in latest WASDE | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-1.9%
• Jul 10, 2024Oilseed industry worries rise in imported feedstock will undermine U.S. producers | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-9.3%
• May 14, 2026Soybean futures drop as Trump-Xi summit fails to boost China purchase expectations By Investing.com-2.8%

After 14 past neutral trade events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.2% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Feb 26, 2019China urged to avoid cautionary tale of Japan and the Plaza Accord in currency deal with US | South China Morning Post+0.3%
• Jul 19, 2018Aquafeed.com | CHINA - New tariffs on US soybeans unlikely to impact aquatic feed+0.7%
• Sep 30, 2025Argentina’s soybeans are rewriting the trade story | World Ports Organization+0.0%
• Mar 7, 2017March 2017 Trade Bulletin | U.S.- CHINA | ECONOMIC and SECURITY REVIEW COMMISSION+0.1%
• Apr 4, 2018China, holding Treasuries, keeps 'nuclear option' in U.S. trade war-0.1%