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Tightening supplies and tariff concerns have pushed up costs for potash, nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers. A North American fertilizer price benchmark rose to its highest level since at least 2016 relative to grain and oilseed futures, above its Russia-Ukraine invasion peak.
Farmers are earning less for their harvests while input costs climb.
Higher fertilizer prices relative to crop values squeeze farm margins and can reduce application rates, which tightens future feed grain supply. Buyers should expect firm nutrient prices and weaker farm economics to keep upward pressure on input-linked feed costs.
bloomberg.comGerson Freitas Jr.Aug 28, 2025After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 193 past bullish trade events, DAP moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.8%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
