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Chicago wheat fell 0.4% to $8.07-1/4 and soybeans dropped 1.3% to $13.34 on July 14, 2022, while corn was flat at $5.95-1/4. The decline followed reports of progress in Istanbul talks on a safe corridor for Ukrainian grain and oilseed exports.
Fears of a global recession also weighed on prices.
Expectations of Black Sea shipping resuming would add Ukrainian supply to world markets and ease wheat tightness. Recession worries reduce demand expectations for feed grains and oilseeds.
scceu.orgJul 14, 2022After 80 past bearish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 16 past bearish geopolitics events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -3.0% over 5 sessions (13% higher; middle half -4.3% to -1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 53 past bearish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 31 past neutral geopolitics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports soybeans down on July 14 on Istanbul talks progress on a Ukrainian grain corridor and recession fears, which are bearish sentiment and supply factors.
