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Russia, Ukraine, Turkey and the UN agreed procedures establishing a 10 nautical mile buffer zone to protect ships carrying Ukrainian grain through the Black Sea. The procedures were agreed on Monday.
Secured shipping lanes raise confidence that Ukrainian grain can reach buyers, lowering the risk premium in wheat and corn and freight costs.
reuters.comJonathan Saul, Michelle NicholsAug 8, 2022After 80 past bearish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 87 past bearish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
