
Brazilian and Chinese authorities are finalizing a health protocol that would allow Brazilian processors to export soymeal to China. Abiove expects Brazil's crushing to grow by 9 million tonnes by 2023 as biodiesel blending rises to 15%.
Access to China would give Brazil a new outlet for growing soymeal output, adding export supply that could weigh on meal prices, though no implementation date is set.
After 384 past bearish trade events, SBM moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 81 past neutral trade events, SBO moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 26 past neutral trade events, USDBRL moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.4%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.