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Chinese soybean basis fell to 76 cents/bu over May CBOT, the lowest since 2018, as Brazilian farmers increased sales during their harvest. Weak Chinese hog demand pushed spot soymeal to its lowest in eight months and crush margins negative.
Heavy Brazilian selling and weaker Chinese crush demand pressure global soybean and soymeal prices, weighing on export values for feed ingredients.
ukragroconsult.comMar 21, 2023After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 26 past neutral trade events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.4%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
