Loading…
Chinese soymeal and soyoil futures on the Dalian Commodity Exchange have been relatively calm since China began a 25% punitive tariff on U.S. soybeans on July 6. The Dalian soymeal contract fell about $9.68 a ton in one week to $461.90, and processors did not raise crush volumes.
Buyers had pre-stocked meal, so near-term supply is ample, but analysts expect reduced U.S. bean imports to tighten meal and oil supply in the next crop season, which is supportive for meal prices later.
dtnpf.comLin TanJul 18, 2018After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 81 past neutral trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
