
Brazil is taking a growing share of China's soybean market from the United States as protein imports decline. Cheaper alternatives such as distillers grains and synthetic amino acids are replacing soymeal in livestock and poultry rations.
Substitution away from soymeal toward DDGS and synthetic amino acids weakens meal demand and shifts export flows toward Brazil, pressuring U.S. soybean and soymeal prices.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.