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Soybean oil closed limit up and soybeans soared after the EPA announced higher RVOs, lifting 2026 biomass-based diesel blending to 5.61 billion gallons. The June WASDE left new-crop ending stocks unchanged at 295 million bushels and old-crop at 350 million.
The higher biofuel mandate boosts soyoil demand and crush economics, while unchanged WASDE balance sheets leave the supply outlook steady.
walshtrading.comHans SchmitJun 13, 2025After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports soybean oil closed limit up after EPA's higher RVOs, directly describing the price jump driven by biofuel demand.
Confirms soyoil closed limit up on higher EPA RVOs, lifting biofuel feedstock demand expectations.
The EPA's higher RVO sent soybean oil limit up on June 13, which should lift crush and oil share and push more meal output, so meal fell as the oil-driven crush incentive raised meal supply.
