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US soybean oil futures have traded in a 10-cent range since August but repeatedly rally near 40 cents per pound. Export demand has surged, with exports for the 2024-25 marketing year through April 3 about 976% above last year, led by India, Colombia and Mexico.
Anticipated federal biofuel guidance is also cited as a potential support.
Strong export sales and possible biofuel policy support favor firmer soybean oil prices, which in turn shifts crush margins and soybean meal output.
foodbusinessnews.netCrystal FutrellApr 22, 2025After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 206 past neutral policy events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
