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Bolsonaro's cabinet unveiled plans on January 2, 2019 to step up privatisations, toughen prison sentences, and shift control of indigenous land claims to the Agriculture Ministry. Brazil's real rose 2.4% and the Bovespa gained 3.6% as investors cheered economic pledges by Economy Minister Paulo Guedes.
Pledges of tax cuts and pension reform lift the real, which lowers the local-currency cost of Brazilian soybean and meal exports and can soften international prices for those commodities.
newsbook.com.mtReutersJan 3, 2019After 13 past bearish policy events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -3.4% over 5 sessions (15% higher; middle half -3.4% to -1.3%), and -1.9% over 20.
After 206 past neutral policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
New government's privatisation and economic pledges lifted the real 2.4% and Bovespa 3.6%, reflecting improved investor sentiment and capital inflows.
