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Farm Progress reports that soybean oil futures rose more than 50% in 2026 through April, reaching their highest levels since late 2022. The rally was fueled by war-driven crude and diesel gains and proposed US biofuel mandates that would raise biomass-based diesel requirements in 2027 by 60% from 2025.
November soybean futures neared $11.80 per bushel in late April, close to a two-year high.
Biofuel-driven soy oil demand is lifting soybean prices, offsetting weakness from large South American supplies. The sustainability of this support depends on mandate implementation and possible increases in US soybean acreage.
farmprogress.comBruce BlytheMay 6, 2026After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
