
At least seven new or expanding soybean crushing plants have been announced since mid-2022, expected to add 564 million bushels of crush capacity by 2026. Analysts say soybean oil demand from renewable diesel and aviation fuel production is rising sharply.
Expanding crush capacity and biofuel-driven oil demand raise structural demand for soybeans, supporting a higher price floor for soybeans and related products.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 206 past neutral policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.