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StoneX reports that canola rose on limited Prairie rain forecasts and soybean oil was expected to rise after the US Senate passed the BBB tax bill, which includes biofuel incentives. The House still needs to pass the legislation.
StoneX expects higher vegetable oil demand and bearish soybean meal prices, since meal demand is unchanged while supply grows.
Biofuel incentives boost vegetable oil demand and support soyoil and canola prices. Extra meal supply from crush pressures meal prices.
stonex.comCraig TurnerJul 2, 2025After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
