
Soybean oil rose after a court ruling, according to DTN's end-of-day market wrap dated July 28, 2017. Corn, soybeans and wheat closed mixed to slightly higher on the day but were lower for the week, with heavy Midwest rain forecasts and weak export sales weighing on grains.
A court ruling that lifts soybean oil suggests a policy-related support for biofuel demand, which tends to firm soyoil prices and the soy crush margin. The rest of the complex is being driven by weather and seasonal export slowdowns rather than this ruling.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 206 past neutral policy events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.