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Argentine farmers increased forward selling of soybeans in late 2019 to avoid export taxes now in effect, according to a USDA GAIN report. Exporters had registered 5.52 million tons of forward sales by Dec.
18, against 588,000 tons a year earlier. USDA projects exports to fall from 9.1 million to 8.2 million tons, with production unchanged at 53 million tons.
Front-loaded sales have tightened Argentine offers, and expected slower farmer selling leaves less whole-bean supply in the near term. Shifts in export taxes could also redirect flows toward soy products.
en.mercopress.comJan 13, 2020After 553 past neutral policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 206 past neutral policy events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
