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Argentine farmers are expected to favor corn over soybeans in the 2025/26 season, according to SRA president Nicolás Pino, citing higher soy export taxes after the temporary cut ended, subdued prices and better margins for corn. Corn is taxed at 12% versus 33% on soybeans and 31% on soymeal and oil.
A shift in Argentine planting toward corn would reduce soybean area and raise corn supply expectations, weighing on corn prices while potentially tightening future soy availability. Global soy price weakness amplifies the tax burden on farmers.
agriculture.comReutersJul 9, 2025After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 206 past neutral policy events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 196 past neutral policy events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
