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A recent US federal appeals court decision allowed small oil refiners to bypass Renewable Fuels Standard blending mandates. Chicago soybean oil futures fell for a sixth straight session, with September contracts down nearly 9%, and soybeans slid to near three-year lows.
Reduced biofuel blending mandates lower demand for soybean oil used in renewable diesel and SAF, which pressures soy oil and, through crush margins, soybean and meal prices.
agnavigator.comJane ByrneAug 1, 2024After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
RFS appeals court ruling hit soybean oil demand outlook, with soyoil down six sessions and soybeans near three-year lows, pressuring the crush-driven complex.
