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Soybean oil futures in Chicago fell 16.8% during the week ending around December 5 after the EPA set biofuel blending increases of only about 1% for 2023-25 and allowed canola oil for biodiesel. Malaysian palm oil futures also fell 4.4% on the week.
The EPA's modest mandate and the new canola oil pathway reduce expected US soyoil demand and add competing feedstock, pressuring vegetable oil prices and the value of oilseed crush.
ukragroconsult.comDec 6, 2022After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
