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US soybean oil futures have mostly traded between 65 and 75 cents per pound since mid-July, even as soybean futures reached three-year highs in early September and crude oil hovered near $100 per barrel. Rising imports of biodiesel and vegetable oil feedstocks, following EPA's record biofuel mandates, have created excess supply.
EPA small-refinery exemptions add uncertainty to near-term demand.
Ample imported supply is limiting soybean oil price gains, which weighs on crush margins and the value of oil share for meal-focused feed buyers. Soybean oil prices are likely to stay range-bound unless biofuel demand strengthens or exemptions shift.
ukragroconsult.comUkrAgroConsultOct 1, 2026After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
