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Renewable diesel expansion is raising demand for soybean oil and influencing how much soybean crushing takes place. China's late-September ban on phosphate fertilizer exports is also cited as raising fertilizer costs and shifting crop profitability for 2022.
Growing biofuel demand for soyoil raises crush economics, which increases meal output, while high fertilizer costs may shift acreage toward soybeans and away from corn.
farmprogress.comBrent MurphreeOct 12, 2021After 1,623 past policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
