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Soybean futures were nearly flat over the week ending December 10, 2021, with January 2022 futures at $12.6775 per bushel. Soybean oil fell 7.2% while soymeal rose $14.20 to $366.80 per short ton.
The EPA proposed retroactive cuts to 2020-2021 biofuel mandates and set 2022 biomass-based diesel at 2.76 billion gallons.
A higher 2022 biofuel mandate supports soybean oil demand and vegetable oil usage, though the retroactive cut for prior years adds uncertainty and pressured oil prices.
mckeany-flavell.comNicole ThomasDec 13, 2021After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 172 past bullish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
