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An AgriVisor analyst says soybean-based biodiesel is the main winner from the updated EPA renewable fuel standards, since about a quarter of US soybean oil output goes to biodiesel. Soybean oil futures rose after the announcement, while soybean meal fell on expectations of higher crush.
Advanced biofuel mandates shift demand toward soybean oil, supporting its price relative to meal. Increased crush for oil adds meal supply, which pressures meal prices.
brownfieldagnews.comJohn PerkinsNov 25, 2016After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
