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The July WASDE drew a bearish trade reaction even though 2020-21 corn ending stocks fell 675 million bushels to 2.648 billion. Old-crop stocks rose to 2.248 billion bushels, and world corn stocks fell about 23 million metric tons.
Soybean production was 4.135 billion bushels, slightly below trade guesses.
Traders still see corn stocks as a large burden, which caps rallies despite the cut in production. Lower world stocks provide some support for export-focused prices.
wnax.comJul 10, 2020After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
