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ZMP reports European nitrogen fertilizer prices rose to their highest level since early 2023 on November 20, with urea around USD 350/t on December 4. The EU has imposed an import duty on Russian nitrogen fertilizers since July 2025, cutting Russian urea imports by about two-thirds, while phosphate and potash prices are reported up sharply year on year.
The EU shift away from Russian supply tightens nitrogen availability and supports non-Russian prices, raising input costs for European grain and feed producers. Higher phosphate and potash prices add to feed cost pressure over the coming season.
zmp.deDec 5, 2025After 129 past bullish policy events, Urea moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 151 past bullish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.9% over 20.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
