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The U.S. Grains Council reports that March corn futures rose 51.5 cents, or 11.9%, in recent sessions, with new contract highs in eight straight trading days. The rally followed Argentina's drought, which left early corn in poor condition, and a government ban on new corn export sales until March 1, 2021.
Strikes at Argentine ports also affected exports.
Argentina's export ban removes a major source of global corn supply through the first quarter of 2021, which supports prices for US corn and soybeans. Buyers of feed grains should expect elevated prices while the ban and dryness persist.
grains.orgDec 31, 2020grains.orgDec 31, 2020grains.orgDec 31, 2020Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
