
Chinese potash market closed 2025 at elevated, stable levels with firm potassium chloride prices supported by tight supply and demand. Government subsidy programs in India, Indonesia and Nepal are driving fertilizer tenders, and Pakistan recorded record fertilizer sales.
Subsidy-backed tenders in South and Southeast Asia keep fertilizer demand strong, supporting potash and nitrogen prices that feed into farm input costs.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 129 past bullish policy events, UREA moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.