
July 2018 MPP-Dairy margins fell as the US average milk price dropped 90 cents to $15.40 per cwt. Feed costs declined about 25 cents per cwt, with soybean meal down $14.60 per ton and corn down 11 cents per bushel.
The margin over feed cost dropped to about $6.72 per cwt.
Lower milk prices reduce dairy farmers' feed budgets, which pressures demand for soybean meal and corn. Lower feed prices partly offset margin losses, and the article suggests milk prices may have bottomed.
After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.