
USDA's September 10 WASDE cut 2021 U.S. milk production by 300 million pounds to 227.8 billion and 2022 by 600 million pounds to 230.6 billion. Butter, cheese and nonfat dry milk price forecasts were raised, and the 2021 Class III price was lifted to $16.65 per cwt.
Lower milk output and firmer dairy product prices support milk prices, while declining feed price forecasts improve dairy margins. Lower feed costs also ease pressure on feed buyers.
After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.