
The October 9 WASDE raised 2020 US milk production forecasts by 300 million pounds to 222.3 billion pounds. The all-milk price was lifted 25 cents to $18/cwt, the Class III price rose 75 cents to $18, and feed cost projections were also raised.
Higher projected feed costs will offset some of the milk price gains for dairy producers. Higher corn and soymeal cost forecasts are a direct input signal for feed buyers.
After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.