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USDA's August Milk Production report showed US output up just 0.2% year over year, the eleventh straight month below 1% growth. The dairy herd contracted only slightly as cow numbers in July were revised higher.
Persistently minimal milk growth and a stabilizing herd keep supply tight, supporting milk prices and dairy demand for feed.
After 237 past bullish report events, MILK moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.