
USDA's December WASDE left 2019 and 2020 milk production estimates unchanged at 218.6 and 222.4 billion pounds. The 2019 all-milk price was held at $18.60 per cwt, while the 2020 all-milk price forecast was raised 55 cents to $19.40.
Higher 2020 Class III and Class IV forecasts reflect gains in most product prices except butter.
A higher 2020 milk price forecast signals firmer dairy demand and stronger farm-level margins, which can support dairy-cow feed demand and related ingredient prices.
After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.