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USDA's WASDE cut the national corn yield to 177.5 bushels per acre, down four bushels, but a 6% rise in planted acreage to 94.1 million keeps production above 15.3 billion bushels. The report cited extreme June dryness in Corn Belt states and expected rain to moderate the impact.
A record-scale crop forecast despite the yield cut limits upside in corn prices, though traders expect the August survey-based report to move markets more.
agri-pulse.comSpencer ChaseAug 1, 2023After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
USDA kept record corn production on large planted acreage, with the yield cut offset by acreage, which limited supply concerns and encouraged selling.
