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USDA's August WASDE cut the 2021 U.S. corn yield to 174.6 bushels per acre, about 1.1 bushels below the lowest trade guess, lowering production to 14.75 billion bushels. Soybean yields were trimmed 0.8 bushel per acre, and wheat and Russian, Canadian and EU production estimates were also reduced.
Corn futures rose about 5% shortly after the release.
A tighter U.S. corn supply and 2021/22 stocks near 8.5% of use support higher corn prices, and the cuts to major wheat exporters may constrict global trade flows.
farmprogress.comBen PotterAug 12, 2021After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
