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Analyst commentary on the October USDA report says corn and soybean yields were raised, along with ending stocks, and that the report was bearish for both crops. Soybean ending stocks roughly doubled to 320 million bushels, while wheat ending stocks were cut 35 million bushels to 580 million, the lowest in the series.
Bigger soybean and corn stocks reduce competition for acres next year and weigh on feed grain and meal prices. Tighter wheat supplies support wheat prices and could raise feed costs for wheat-based rations.
agriculture.comRay GrabanskiOct 12, 2021After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
