
USDA's October WASDE cut the corn production estimate by 49 million bushels to 13.895 billion and lowered corn yield to 171.9 bushels per acre. Soybean yield was lowered to 49.8 bushels per acre, and U.S. wheat ending stocks were put at 576 million bushels, a 15-year low.
Lower U.S. corn and soybean yields tighten domestic supply, while the wheat stocks decline supports prices. Analysts called the U.S. ending stocks mostly neutral for corn and wheat.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.