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USDA's June WASDE trimmed its Brazilian soybean production estimate slightly, while keeping the 2023/24 crop mostly intact despite flooding in Rio Grande do Sul. The report also raised U.S. 2024/25 soybean ending stocks to 455 million bushels.
Russian and EU wheat production forecasts were cut in the same release.
A smaller-than-expected Brazilian cut leaves ample South American supply, which weighs on soybean and meal prices. Higher U.S. soybean stocks add to that bearish pressure.
agriculture.comCassidy WalterJun 12, 2024After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
