
USDA's August WASDE put 2022/23 US corn ending stocks at 1.388 billion bushels, below July's 1.470 billion, and soybean ending stocks at 245 million bushels, above the trade's 227 million. Wheat ending stocks were cut to 610 million bushels from 639 million in July.
Lower corn and wheat carryout tightens old-crop balance sheets and supports prices, while the higher soybean stocks add modest bearish pressure on soybeans and soy meal.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
August WASDE put soybean ending stocks above trade expectations with lower demand, bearish for soybean meal prices.