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The USDA raised its 2024/25 US soybean ending stocks forecast by 10 million bushels to 455 million bushels. The increase follows a 10 million bushel cut to the 2023/24 crush forecast, to 2.29 billion bushels, due to weaker domestic meal demand.
Higher projected carryout and lower domestic crush point to softer soybean and soybean meal prices, while strong meal exports partly offset the demand loss.
ag.hedder.comHedderJun 17, 2024After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
