
USDA's final 2023 tally put U.S. corn production at a record 15.342 billion bushels on a record yield of 177.3 bpa. Soybean production reached 4.165 billion bushels on a national yield of 50.6 bpa, which came in above the high end of trade estimates.
Record corn output and a soybean yield surprise add to ample supplies, which weighs on feed grain and soymeal prices.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.