
USDA NASS released 2025 county yield estimates for corn, soybeans and winter wheat. The national corn yield averaged a record 186.5 bu/ac in 2025, with higher yields concentrated in the main Corn Belt.
The number of counties with published estimates continues to decline.
A record 2025 corn yield confirms ample recent supply, which is bearish for feed grain prices heading into the 2026 marketing year.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.