
USDA's NASS reported U.S. corn stocks of 1.38 billion bushels as of September 1, well below pre-report trade estimates of 1.512 billion. Soybean ending stocks came in larger than expected, and cuts to U.S. wheat production in the Small Grains Summary lifted wheat prices.
Tighter-than-expected corn stocks point to firmer feed grain supplies and support corn prices, while bigger soybean stocks weigh on soybeans and soymeal values for feed buyers.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.